Caribbean Stud Poker Odds
True Caribbean Poker Odds depend on the strategy you use, because
the strategy determines on which hands you pass or fold your Ante
bet, and on which hands you raise or call your Ante bet. Therefore,
the strategy you use has direct implications for the number of times
each possible outcome can occur, and hence for the odds against such
an event occurring.
The True Caribbean Stud Poker Odds given in the following table
are derived from the original
Caribbean Stud probabilities calculated by Michael Shackleford.
They are calculated assuming you are playing perfect strategy. Please
refer to our Caribbean
Stud Poker Strategy section for more information on perfect
and sub-optimal Caribbean Poker strategies.
The first column ("Event") shows all outcomes that can
occur playing Caribbean Stud. The second column ("P[Event]")
shows the probability of each of those events occurring. True Caribbean
Stud Poker Odds are listed in the third column. The True odds of
an event, are the odds *against* that event happening, and thus
can be derived from P[Event] using the formula 100/P[Event] - 1.
| Event |
P[Event] |
True Odds |
| Non Winning Hands |
| Dealer wins |
13.68% |
6.3 to 1 |
| Fold |
47.77% |
1.1 to 1 |
| Push |
0.0016% |
62,499 to 1 |
| Winning hands |
| Ante only (dealer doesn't qualify) |
22.74% |
3.4 to 1 |
| Ace/King |
0.093% |
1,074 to 1 |
| Pair |
11.66% |
7.6 to 1 |
| Two Pair |
2.45% |
39.8 to 1 |
| Three of a Kind |
1.18% |
83.7 to 1 |
| Straight |
0.22% |
453.5 to 1 |
| Flush |
0.11% |
908.1 to 1 |
| Full House |
0.083% |
1,203.8 to 1 |
| Four of Kind |
0.014% |
7,141.8 to 1 |
| Straight Flush |
0.00079% |
126,581 to 1 |
| Royal Flush |
0.000084% |
1,190,475 to 1 |
If we combine the information presented in the table above with
the amount a player actually wins or loses with each event happening,
it's possible to calculate the house edge of Caribbean Stud Poker.
In our Caribbean
Stud Poker House Edge section, we will show that the house edge
of Caribbean Poker is 5.22%, given two assumptions are true.
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